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#26 2012-06-21 00:19:08

hem9
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Registered: 2010-10-15
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

silverfever wrote:

After everything has been said, why do the big  MCC dealers sell  like Xu Hong and Naomi bother selling their sets on ebay?
They can double or even triple their money in their own backyard.
Something just doesn't add up.

For example the Silk Road set which sold for $11K . You can BIN on ebay for less than 50% of the price from a Mainland or Taiwanese dealer.

I dont know all the facts so I cant make a judgement; but I think you are on to something as if anything the present crisis teaches us is to use common sense and scrutinise things that does not add up.


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#27 2012-06-21 00:22:58

hem9
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

jc888888888 wrote:
yennus wrote:

Thanks for your thoughts hem9. I agree with the principle of Occams Razor, which is why I don't think pump and dump (or bribery) is the right angle.

As given in the example above, the only real winner in such a pump and dump scam would be Hosane (10% from the seller, 15% from the buyer).

For me, the simplest explanation is: Modern Chinese Coins are a hot investment at the moment.

I agree with happydaz, many Chinese investors follow the trend, and with huge wealth (and a huge population) the resulting prices can be amazing.

The theory of huge wealth and huge population GETS MY VOTE,  come here to the US , go to a high end shopping mall ......... Coach, Louis Vitton, stores are bustling  people dropping 2000usd on a handbag......10K on luggage, 90% of the clientel are Asian and 90% of them are chinese.........  New found incredible wealth all over China , I just had chinese visitors  who are in electronics biz , these ladies are in their mid 30,s , buying diamonds ,high end watches etc to the tune of 50,000.00 in 1 day........ these same folks are dying to convert a big portion of their wealth out of RMB to hard assets..........  what do they care if they pay to much for something they know will appreciate in value ..............

That can be a valid explanation but I am sure someone said the same thing when they tried to explain the reason property prices kept going up around the world and the rest is history.


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#28 2012-06-21 00:26:53

jc888888888
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

All that it takes is a couple of folks with unlimited funds in an auction setting ,that simply just want something... I have seen it here ,rare cars, rare art ,and coins too........

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#29 2012-06-21 00:31:32

hem9
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

jc888888888 wrote:

All that it takes is a couple of folks with unlimited funds in an auction setting ,that simply just want something... I have seen it here ,rare cars, rare art ,and coins too........

and that is the crux of the OP's question as he feels that the prices achieved in this auction is in his words 'BS' and thus cannot be relied upon give accurate idea of price as in the next auction there might not be these people with 'unlimited' funds and people using this prices as a baseline will be misled.

Last edited by hem9 (2012-06-21 00:32:12)


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#30 2012-06-21 00:52:01

yennus
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

Hahah... I'm glad you mentioned the Silk Road set that sold for $11K. smile

This set was a perfect NGC PF70 set.

I don't think you'll find a BIN set for anywhere near half this price smile

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#31 2012-06-21 01:02:56

silverfever
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

yennus wrote:

Hahah... I'm glad you mentioned the Silk Road set that sold for $11K. smile

This set was a perfect NGC PF70 set.

I don't think you'll find a BIN set for anywhere near half this price smile


Thanks for clarifying that the complete set was a Slabbed MS70 because the this important detail was not included in the lot description.

Wondering about the 1986 Historical Figures which sold for over US$1500? Was this set graded too?
I see Xu Hong has a couple of sets on BIN right now for $468.00

http://www.hosane.com/productdetail.asp … 80&Page=12

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#32 2012-06-21 01:09:48

yennus
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

What was the lot number?

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#33 2012-06-21 01:33:14

Pandacollector
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

There was an article in the news yesterday about how real estate agents use an overpriced property to sell cheaper ones in the same neighborhood. First they take buyers to the expensive one, and afterward show them the less expensive house, or flat, that they really want to move. The buyer usually notices that the second place is a better deal, and buys that one.

There's always a contest between buyers and sellers to control the perception of value, and collectors should keep that in mind. Speaking for China Pricepedia, my position is that a price guide should be equally valuable to both parties. If it tilts one way or the other, that's not good. So I use information from my contacts who were at an auction (including this one), as well as other sources, to decide if a price is useful, or isn't. Just because an auction price is very high, or very low, doesn't mean it's not useful, it just means I like to get some answers about where it is coming from.

Best wishes,
Peter Anthony
China Pricepedia
http://www.pandacollector.com

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#34 2012-06-21 01:50:28

jc888888888
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

hem9 wrote:
jc888888888 wrote:

All that it takes is a couple of folks with unlimited funds in an auction setting ,that simply just want something... I have seen it here ,rare cars, rare art ,and coins too........

and that is the crux of the OP's question as he feels that the prices achieved in this auction is in his words 'BS' and thus cannot be relied upon give accurate idea of price as in the next auction there might not be these people with 'unlimited' funds and people using this prices as a baseline will be misled.

and prudent buyers IMHO doing a price appraisal on a coin , should in fact follow the same tact that certified real estate appraisers do in this country, I use this formula my self ...........Take as many verifiable sales as possible on a coin ,And here is the important part that many buyers and sellers leave out for convieniance sake:)  make sure they are apples to apples comparisons , ie graded ,raw or omp ,now take out the high price sale and discard it, take out the low price sale and discard it also ,now do your average ...if it is more than 10 samples lets say 20 samples than take 2 off top and 2 off bottom etc..............

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#35 2012-06-21 01:52:24

jc888888888
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

yennus wrote:

Hahah... I'm glad you mentioned the Silk Road set that sold for $11K. smile

This set was a perfect NGC PF70 set.

I don't think you'll find a BIN set for anywhere near half this price smile

no wonder:)

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#36 2012-06-21 01:55:01

yennus
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

The original item in question was also a PF69 UC. smile

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#37 2012-06-21 02:27:36

silverfever
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

yennus wrote:

What was the lot number?


Lot 1680.

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#38 2012-06-21 03:15:32

yennus
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

Yep, that was a PF70 set... very nice smile

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#39 2012-06-21 03:31:15

silverfever
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

yennus wrote:

Yep, that was a PF70 set... very nice smile

Those prices make sense now. Thanks.

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#40 2012-06-21 03:43:22

yennus
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

Occams Razor smile

Why the high prices?

a) Bribes and money laundering
b) Pump and dump
c) High quality coins combined with high demand.

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#41 2012-06-21 09:42:55

happydaz
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From: Sydney
Registered: 2011-10-26
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

jc888888888 wrote:
yennus wrote:

Thanks for your thoughts hem9. I agree with the principle of Occams Razor, which is why I don't think pump and dump (or bribery) is the right angle.

As given in the example above, the only real winner in such a pump and dump scam would be Hosane (10% from the seller, 15% from the buyer).

For me, the simplest explanation is: Modern Chinese Coins are a hot investment at the moment.

I agree with happydaz, many Chinese investors follow the trend, and with huge wealth (and a huge population) the resulting prices can be amazing.

The theory of huge wealth and huge population GETS MY VOTE,  come here to the US , go to a high end shopping mall ......... Coach, Louis Vitton, stores are bustling  people dropping 2000usd on a handbag......10K on luggage, 90% of the clientel are Asian and 90% of them are chinese.........  New found incredible wealth all over China , I just had chinese visitors  who are in electronics biz , these ladies are in their mid 30,s , buying diamonds ,high end watches etc to the tune of 50,000.00 in 1 day........ these same folks are dying to convert a big portion of their wealth out of RMB to hard assets..........  what do they care if they pay to much for something they know will appreciate in value ..............

Haha, that is how Chinese do. My friend went to the US a few years ago, bought a very high quality 2c+ diamond for his wife, did not take to thnink long. This kind of investment as well as making the wife happy, he did care about the money.

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#42 2012-06-21 11:19:42

silverfever
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

All I can say is yes, the mainland Chinese have a lot of money and are willing to spend. $$$
But they are willing to splash big $$$ on Coach, LV etc in N America because
a) Prices and selection here are better than in Asia. They are not paying double or triple the price for comparable product here  when compared tp China /HKG/Asia.

Brand names are incredibly cheap in N America compared to Asia.

I will give you an simple example of Levis Dockers.

Asian Price around CAD$80.00 with no sales.

Canadian price, just wait for Sears to have their routine weekend sale... CAD$35 - $40.00 So there is no doubt they will splash on items which are cheaper here than in China.

This does not mean that they are willing to pay double or triple price for MCC which can be gotten for cheaper outside of China. This may only be the case if this coins cannot be brought into China.

If the Chinese market had such huge demand we wouldn't see Xu Hong, Naomi, Thincat etc hawking their wares on ebay...

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#43 2012-06-21 11:44:52

jc888888888
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

Canadian price, just wait for Sears to have their routine weekend sale... CAD$35 - $40.00 So there is no doubt they will splash on items which are cheaper here than in China
US price at wholesale club like Cosco    22 usd

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#44 2012-06-21 11:52:18

jc888888888
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

The bottom line is these folks don't trust the paper RMB, remember it was not too long ago..............., their grandparents can tell them stories of the cultural revolution ,people being stripped of there wealth  ,people hungry etc etc.................I think that is part of the allure of hard assets ,plus Chinese have been metal bugs for a 1000 of years

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#45 2012-06-21 11:55:12

jc888888888
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

If the Chinese market had such huge demand we wouldn't see Xu Hong, Naomi, Thincat etc hawking their wares on ebay... this pure speculation on my part  is it possible these guys are trying to get there hands on AUD,USD?????????

Last edited by jc888888888 (2012-06-21 11:55:37)

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#46 2012-06-21 12:11:18

Lim
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

jc888888888 wrote:

If the Chinese market had such huge demand we wouldn't see Xu Hong, Naomi, Thincat etc hawking their wares on ebay... this pure speculation on my part  is it possible these guys are trying to get there hands on AUD,USD?????????

+1

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#47 2012-06-21 13:27:02

Thor122
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

jc888888888 wrote:

If the Chinese market had such huge demand we wouldn't see Xu Hong, Naomi, Thincat etc hawking their wares on ebay... this pure speculation on my part  is it possible these guys are trying to get there hands on AUD,USD?????????

Is very possible. They will have a account in other/s currency/s and offshore china. Is a good move to diversify to chinese assets ans rmb and the apartaments bubbles.

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#48 2012-06-21 13:36:48

low
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

I can't comment on the MCC, but I did see some of the most amazing, simply unbelievable, absolutely crazy price paid for some of the most commonly available, ungraded (by TPG), AU/UNC (according to Hosane) 1912 Szechuan silver $1.

I wish the result is real, even if it means I have to sell them through Hosane. There are a ton of them available, both graded and raw, and they are insanely cheap compared to Hosane.

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#49 2012-06-21 15:39:32

Griffon
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

low wrote:

I can't comment on the MCC, but I did see some of the most amazing, simply unbelievable, absolutely crazy price paid for some of the most commonly available, ungraded (by TPG), AU/UNC (according to Hosane) 1912 Szechuan silver $1.

I wish the result is real, even if it means I have to sell them through Hosane. There are a ton of them available, both graded and raw, and they are insanely cheap compared to Hosane.

I hope that the results are real as well, as i have tens of exact same sets as Lot#1513, anyone here interested in purchasing from me for AUD$500/set? Hosane sold over AUD$2000/set, huge bargain buying from me, isn't it? big_smile

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#50 2012-06-21 15:57:15

silverfever
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

jc888888888 wrote:

If the Chinese market had such huge demand we wouldn't see Xu Hong, Naomi, Thincat etc hawking their wares on ebay... this pure speculation on my part  is it possible these guys are trying to get there hands on AUD,USD?????????


I have a lot of experience with clients from China. There is a local Chinese Mall called Crystal Mall in Burnaby. There are people down there who can handle transfers of up to CAD$500,000 within 12 hours without a problem. You deposit $500,000 in RMB/CNY into their account in China and they will transfer that equivalent in CAD$ into your Canadian Account within 12 hours. There is a handling fee of course. I work for a local property development company and from what I hear this transactions are routine. It is very easy for the wealthy to skirt Currency control laws in China. I have a client who bought NINETY apartments from us in the last 5 years. According to him, this is his exact words, buying property is his "hobby". Just like the majority of us here who collect coins... and this guy is very shrewd with his $$$ . I don't see him just throwing his $ around paying double or triple for items which are readily available for much cheaper in other markets.

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