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#1 2012-06-20 10:09:42

silverfever
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From: Vancouver, BC, Canada
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Hosane Auction Results BS????

I was just looking at the results for the auction and the prices are unreal. I wonder if its just BS.

For example the 1993 discovery and invention series sells for US$1867.00

http://www.hosane.com/productdetail.asp … 527&Page=2


Another set sells for $2427.00

Last edited by silverfever (2012-06-20 10:23:30)

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#2 2012-06-20 10:20:39

silverfever
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

Complete Historical Figures Set sells for US$5227.00

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#3 2012-06-20 10:28:18

серебро
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

1993 CHINA S5Y INVENTION&DISCOVERY SET, NGC PF69/68UC

Item number: 200771152613

$1688.88


INVENTION OF THE UMBRELLA - NGC PF 69 ULTRA CAMEO
TERRACOTTA ARMY - NGC PF 69 ULTRA CAMEO
DEFINITION OF ZERO - NGC PF 69 ULTRA CAMEO
INVENTION OF THE STIRRUP - NGC PF 68 ULTRA CAMEO
CHIN-YIN YANG - NGC PF 68 ULTRA CAMEO

Last edited by серебро (2012-06-20 10:39:22)


Basically, it's a tinfoil hat bonanza that's heavy on hype and short on substance.

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#4 2012-06-20 10:44:48

silverfever
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

I would prefer to buy the graded set rather than raw.

There is a double sealed set right now going for Us$1288 and the seller is from Taiwan.
Why doesn't he double his money in the mainland?

http://www.ebay.com/itm/1993-CHINA-PRC- … 8903842961

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#5 2012-06-20 10:51:12

серебро
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

I saw back in March raw coins on a site I can not remember which one selling for $50 to $90 a coin. They looked like they were in good condition


Basically, it's a tinfoil hat bonanza that's heavy on hype and short on substance.

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#6 2012-06-20 11:04:44

silverfever
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

серебро wrote:

I saw back in March raw coins on a site I can not remember which one selling for $50 to $90 a coin. They looked like they were in good condition

Than you could easily get a set around $400-$500.00


Another questionable price

1986 Historical figures set sells for Us $1587.00!!!!!!!
http://www.hosane.com/productdetail.asp … 80&Page=12

I bought a complete PF 69 NGC graded set for $450.00

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#7 2012-06-20 12:12:13

Griffon
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

silverfever wrote:
серебро wrote:

I saw back in March raw coins on a site I can not remember which one selling for $50 to $90 a coin. They looked like they were in good condition

Than you could easily get a set around $400-$500.00


Another questionable price

1986 Historical figures set sells for Us $1587.00!!!!!!!
http://www.hosane.com/productdetail.asp … 80&Page=12

I bought a complete PF 69 NGC graded set for $450.00

auctions in mainland China is well known as a form for money laundry or bribe.

for example, person A wants to give a bribe to a corrupted gov official, instead of handling over cash which may cause problems, he would ask the officer to put any somehow value items (coins, china bowl, jade etc. etc.) in public auction and bid to the money that the officer is after. If you see realised prices that dealers are not even charging, you know what's happening behind the door.

but bear in mind that Chinese gov is said to inject a further 4 billion RMB into capital markets so even just a small portion of it flows into coin market will see the prices doubled or maybe tripled.

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#8 2012-06-20 15:04:15

yennus
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

Being at the auction in person makes a difference. Especially when you can inspect the coins.

I was at this auction, and know some of the people that organized it.

I trust them enough that I'm confident that i will be selling some of my collection there next round.

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#9 2012-06-20 15:30:57

Griffon
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

did not check all lots but one typical example of a possible bribe/money laundry is lot#1513, an extermely common set easily available anywhere for USD$6 (or RMB 35) sold RMB 13800 includes BP

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#10 2012-06-20 15:50:19

yennus
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

I don't agree with the bribe idea being passed around in this thread:
1. There are easier ways to pass money to someone.
2. Neither party to a bribe wants a paper trail, and that is what is generated at an auction.
3. An auction is an incredibly expensive way to pass a bribe, hosane gets 10% from the seller and 15% from the buyer... Incredibly expensive way of slipping cash to someone.

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#11 2012-06-20 16:54:31

yennus
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

Griffon wrote:

did not check all lots but one typical example of a possible bribe/money laundry is lot#1513, an extermely common set easily available anywhere for USD$6 (or RMB 35) sold RMB 13800 includes BP

I was watching this item.

I don't think it's a bribe at all.

It sold for 12,000RMB (approx. $2000AUD).

If it were a bribe:
The person paying the bribe pays Hosane: 1,800RMB
The person receiving the bribe pays Hosane: 1,200RMB
The person receiving the bribe only receives 10,800RMB

The only real winner in this "bribe" would be Hosane, who receives 3,000RMB

All this trouble for just $1714AUD (10,800RMB)? Easier to slip someone a wad of cash in a handshake, or under the table during dinner.

This is like someone saying, "Ebay in the West is well known as a form for money laundry or bribe."

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#12 2012-06-20 16:58:30

Griffon
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

yennus wrote:

I don't agree with the bribe idea being passed around in this thread:
1. There are easier ways to pass money to someone.
2. Neither party to a bribe wants a paper trail, and that is what is generated at an auction.
3. An auction is an incredibly expensive way to pass a bribe, hosane gets 10% from the seller and 15% from the buyer... Incredibly expensive way of slipping cash to someone.

Hi Chris,

agreed that it's off the topic as it's a panda forum

however, it's somehow relevant to all MCC investor/collector to understand the reason behind massive price discrepancy evidenced in auctions. image someone who is unfamiliar about this paid top dollars for some common coins because of reference to auction house realised price but stunt later only to find out that the "bargain" only worths a friction of the purchase price at the time of resell? It's a crime in China for gov official unable to explaine the source of income (i.e. officers receiving large amount of money without a valid reason is a crime) but Discipllinary Committee of the Chinese Communist Party will regard auction income as a legitimite income thus both parties involved in auction, even with paper trail, will be trouble free.

I am not saying that all lots in Hosane auction are bribes or trying to bring down MCC collectors passion, i am just trying to offer an alternative view into understanding auction results and caution everyone to do the research before giving away their hard earned money.

if you do not like it or feel offended in any ways, feel free to delete the post

cheers

Roy

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#13 2012-06-20 17:27:42

Pandacollector
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

I doubt these prices represent bribes.

Best wishes,
Peter Anthony
China Pricepedia
http://www.pandacollector.coma

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#14 2012-06-20 17:29:50

Lightsview
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

Pandacollector wrote:

I doubt these prices represent bribes.

Best wishes,
Peter Anthony
China Pricepedia
http://www.pandacollector.coma


Hi Peter, you mentioned in CCF that Pricepedia will not report some prices from this auction. Any reason for that?

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#15 2012-06-20 17:51:55

Pandacollector
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

Lightsview wrote:
Pandacollector wrote:

I doubt these prices represent bribes.

Best wishes,
Peter Anthony
China Pricepedia
http://www.pandacollector.coma


Hi Peter, you mentioned in CCF that Pricepedia will not report some prices from this auction. Any reason for that?


The CCF comment was a response to a specific price that someone else posted. I don't believe that number is a good gauge to what these coins usually go for. If this was an actively traded coin(s) for which there were 10 other results that would be a different story; it would be easy to see what the average is, and how this sale relates to others. Because so few of these coins change hands, though, a single extraordinary auction price can have more influence than it deserves to have. So I use my own judgement about whether to report it, or not. This doesn't come up often, fortunately.

Best wishes,
Peter Anthony
China Pricepedia
http://www.pandacollector.coma

Last edited by Pandacollector (2012-06-20 17:54:06)

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#16 2012-06-20 17:53:46

yennus
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

Griffon wrote:

agreed that it's off the topic as it's a panda forum

however, it's somehow relevant to all MCC investor/collector to understand the reason behind massive price discrepancy evidenced in auctions. image someone who is unfamiliar about this paid top dollars for some common coins because of reference to auction house realised price but stunt later only to find out that the "bargain" only worths a friction of the purchase price at the time of resell? It's a crime in China for gov official unable to explaine the source of income (i.e. officers receiving large amount of money without a valid reason is a crime) but Discipllinary Committee of the Chinese Communist Party will regard auction income as a legitimite income thus both parties involved in auction, even with paper trail, will be trouble free.

I am not saying that all lots in Hosane auction are bribes or trying to bring down MCC collectors passion, i am just trying to offer an alternative view into understanding auction results and caution everyone to do the research before giving away their hard earned money.

Thanks Griffon for your courtesy, politeness, and your thoughts.

I just don't agree that the bribe hypothesis is the best explanation behind the high prices for some coins.

In my opinion, it is more likely the case, that we don't fully understand what is desirable in the Chinese Modern Coin scene.

For example, many Chinese wouldn't understand why a specific Australian 1930 penny would go for $100,000AUD, while most other pennies go for pennies. smile

Similarly, receiving bribes through auctions wouldn't be very smart.. because that would incur massive Capital Gains Tax plus a lot of red flags (plus a whole lot of commissions to Hosane).

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#17 2012-06-20 17:58:51

Lim
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

A crazy wacko and 2 lucky chap (the seller and the auction house)

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#18 2012-06-20 18:38:29

Lightsview
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

Pandacollector wrote:
Lightsview wrote:
Pandacollector wrote:

I doubt these prices represent bribes.

Best wishes,
Peter Anthony
China Pricepedia
http://www.pandacollector.coma


Hi Peter, you mentioned in CCF that Pricepedia will not report some prices from this auction. Any reason for that?


The CCF comment was a response to a specific price that someone else posted. I don't believe that number is a good gauge to what these coins usually go for. If this was an actively traded coin(s) for which there were 10 other results that would be a different story; it would be easy to see what the average is, and how this sale relates to others. Because so few of these coins change hands, though, a single extraordinary auction price can have more influence than it deserves to have. So I use my own judgement about whether to report it, or not. This doesn't come up often, fortunately.

Best wishes,
Peter Anthony
China Pricepedia
http://www.pandacollector.coma


Thanks Peter for that clarification.

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#19 2012-06-20 18:48:29

alor
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

more like a father in law, (coins lover) want to 'tekan' the son in law

or a brother is law (2B), who is a member here is trying to make life difficult lol for the new comer in the family ?


Hear Say See -> N o ! h i n g

silver is all about demand * gold is all about supply

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#20 2012-06-20 21:45:13

jc888888888
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From: usa
Registered: 2011-12-12
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

yennus wrote:

Being at the auction in person makes a difference. Especially when you can inspect the coins.

I was at this auction, and know some of the people that organized it.

I trust them enough that I'm confident that i will be selling some of my collection there next round.

lets talk smile  I love those prices , I have no problem sending coins to you to auction for me and I will gladly pay commission to you my friend ,those prices are wow:),I have RMB account on mainland:)

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#21 2012-06-20 22:45:36

happydaz
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

Griffon wrote:
yennus wrote:

I don't agree with the bribe idea being passed around in this thread:
1. There are easier ways to pass money to someone.
2. Neither party to a bribe wants a paper trail, and that is what is generated at an auction.
3. An auction is an incredibly expensive way to pass a bribe, hosane gets 10% from the seller and 15% from the buyer... Incredibly expensive way of slipping cash to someone.

Hi Chris,

agreed that it's off the topic as it's a panda forum

however, it's somehow relevant to all MCC investor/collector to understand the reason behind massive price discrepancy evidenced in auctions. image someone who is unfamiliar about this paid top dollars for some common coins because of reference to auction house realised price but stunt later only to find out that the "bargain" only worths a friction of the purchase price at the time of resell? It's a crime in China for gov official unable to explaine the source of income (i.e. officers receiving large amount of money without a valid reason is a crime) but Discipllinary Committee of the Chinese Communist Party will regard auction income as a legitimite income thus both parties involved in auction, even with paper trail, will be trouble free.

I am not saying that all lots in Hosane auction are bribes or trying to bring down MCC collectors passion, i am just trying to offer an alternative view into understanding auction results and caution everyone to do the research before giving away their hard earned money.

if you do not like it or feel offended in any ways, feel free to delete the post

cheers

Roy

It is gotta be understand of Chinese investors, anything could be possible as long as there is a trend. Chinese investors don't care what realistic is as long as they like, the result prices can be ridiculous. Hosane is a small small auction in China compare to what I have seen on the news on TV.

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#22 2012-06-20 23:12:13

hem9
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

Has anyone thought of the principle of Occams Razor which states 'All things being equal; the simplest explanation is usually the right one'. How simple would it be for a group of people to pay unrealistic prices for items in a small auction for the purpose of showing 'huge' price gains thus unloading their own items for overvalued prices (using this auction as a basis). Simple pump and dump and not expensive compared to potential returns. Please note: Just my opinion if we are looking for conspiracies.


Traded with a whole lot of members.

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#23 2012-06-20 23:17:56

yennus
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

Thanks for your thoughts hem9. I agree with the principle of Occams Razor, which is why I don't think pump and dump (or bribery) is the right angle.

As given in the example above, the only real winner in such a pump and dump scam would be Hosane (10% from the seller, 15% from the buyer).

For me, the simplest explanation is: Modern Chinese Coins are a hot investment at the moment.

I agree with happydaz, many Chinese investors follow the trend, and with huge wealth (and a huge population) the resulting prices can be amazing.

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#24 2012-06-21 00:03:44

jc888888888
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From: usa
Registered: 2011-12-12
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

yennus wrote:

Thanks for your thoughts hem9. I agree with the principle of Occams Razor, which is why I don't think pump and dump (or bribery) is the right angle.

As given in the example above, the only real winner in such a pump and dump scam would be Hosane (10% from the seller, 15% from the buyer).

For me, the simplest explanation is: Modern Chinese Coins are a hot investment at the moment.

I agree with happydaz, many Chinese investors follow the trend, and with huge wealth (and a huge population) the resulting prices can be amazing.

The theory of huge wealth and huge population GETS MY VOTE,  come here to the US , go to a high end shopping mall ......... Coach, Louis Vitton, stores are bustling  people dropping 2000usd on a handbag......10K on luggage, 90% of the clientel are Asian and 90% of them are chinese.........  New found incredible wealth all over China , I just had chinese visitors  who are in electronics biz , these ladies are in their mid 30,s , buying diamonds ,high end watches etc to the tune of 50,000.00 in 1 day........ these same folks are dying to convert a big portion of their wealth out of RMB to hard assets..........  what do they care if they pay to much for something they know will appreciate in value ..............

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#25 2012-06-21 00:13:07

silverfever
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Registered: 2012-02-23
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Re: Hosane Auction Results BS????

After everything has been said, why do the big  MCC dealers sell  like Xu Hong and Naomi bother selling their sets on ebay?
They can double or even triple their money in their own backyard.
Something just doesn't add up.

For example the Silk Road set which sold for $11K . You can BIN on ebay for less than 50% of the price from a Mainland or Taiwanese dealer.

Last edited by silverfever (2012-06-21 00:15:19)

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