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  • » Gold-to-Silver-Ratio and price prediction

#1 2016-12-19 16:04:52

leon1998
Member
From: United States
Registered: 2014-11-26
Posts: 686
Trades :   

Gold-to-Silver-Ratio and price prediction

If you plot GSR (Gold-to-Silver-Ratio) on ten year chart, you will find out GSR has already peaked and been going down for a while.

Price action recently has indicated that during GSR decrease, silver held up and gold just crashed. This might be the future movement as well. Under this condition, long silver might lose money, too.
The only profitable trade could be, just short the gold.

tongue

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#2 2016-12-19 17:46:44

ozcopper
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From: Australia
Registered: 2009-07-16
Posts: 13,853
Website

Re: Gold-to-Silver-Ratio and price prediction

If you followed leons "advice" this morning, you lost money!

26_gold_30_day_silver.png

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#3 2016-12-19 22:26:24

leon1998
Member
From: United States
Registered: 2014-11-26
Posts: 686
Trades :   

Re: Gold-to-Silver-Ratio and price prediction

GSR rises today; gold held up and silver dropped. Days ago GSR dropped; silver held up and gold crashed.

This is exactly what I am talking about. GSR has been moving around; but both gold and silver dropped in the end.

IF both gold and silver continue to drop, gold will crash much worse than silver; in order to lower GSR.

Anyone noticed recently there are much more gold coin specials than silver? There is a reason behind it.

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#4 2016-12-19 22:34:51

ozcopper
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From: Australia
Registered: 2009-07-16
Posts: 13,853
Website

Re: Gold-to-Silver-Ratio and price prediction

leon1998 wrote:

GSR has been moving around;

I have some news for you leon. This has been happening since before you were born big_smile

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#5 2016-12-20 08:43:54

leon1998
Member
From: United States
Registered: 2014-11-26
Posts: 686
Trades :   

Re: Gold-to-Silver-Ratio and price prediction

Gold smackdown!

anyone shorted the gold? LOL

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#6 2016-12-20 11:29:32

Noxx
Member
Registered: 2016-09-29
Posts: 37
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Re: Gold-to-Silver-Ratio and price prediction

leon1998 wrote:

Anyone noticed recently there are much more gold coin specials than silver? There is a reason behind it.

Yes and it's been irritating. I want to do my next 100 oz buy of silver (@ $16 oz) but those super deals are nowhere to be found anymore. Hopefully one pops up this week. At 30 cents over spot. Right now I see a stacker at 69 cents over spot. Not to bad, but I want those awesome deals and at the price I'm looking for. At least I got in on my silver ETF buys I wanted though. Just need the physical silver also now.

At $1100 I'll buy my next gold coin.

Last edited by Noxx (2016-12-20 11:30:45)

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#7 2016-12-20 11:51:05

leon1998
Member
From: United States
Registered: 2014-11-26
Posts: 686
Trades :   

Re: Gold-to-Silver-Ratio and price prediction

If you plan to buy physical, my trick is to buy low AND there's NO specials around. wink

Large bullion dealers always hedge their inventory; and their hedge position kept reducing for the last several weeks. You can take a look at weekly COT report.

However, it is not there yet; the commercial short is still 3x than long.

Be patient, once that ratio drops from 3x to 2x; that might be the dip, and I am almost sure it will be hard to find specials at that time; simply because bullion dealers loses the hedge position in futures market.

Noxx wrote:
leon1998 wrote:

Anyone noticed recently there are much more gold coin specials than silver? There is a reason behind it.

Yes and it's been irritating. I want to do my next 100 oz buy of silver (@ $16 oz) but those super deals are nowhere to be found anymore. Hopefully one pops up this week. At 30 cents over spot. Right now I see a stacker at 69 cents over spot. Not to bad, but I want those awesome deals and at the price I'm looking for. At least I got in on my silver ETF buys I wanted though. Just need the physical silver also now.

At $1100 I'll buy my next gold coin.

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#8 2016-12-20 15:51:04

leon1998
Member
From: United States
Registered: 2014-11-26
Posts: 686
Trades :   

Re: Gold-to-Silver-Ratio and price prediction

The path for a lower GSR in the next few years: gold and silver take turn to drop; with smaller drop on silver, and huge crash for gold.

WRONG time for stackers. roll

leon1998 wrote:

If you plot GSR (Gold-to-Silver-Ratio) on ten year chart, you will find out GSR has already peaked and been going down for a while.

Price action recently has indicated that during GSR decrease, silver held up and gold just crashed. This might be the future movement as well. Under this condition, long silver might lose money, too.
The only profitable trade could be, just short the gold.

tongue

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#9 2016-12-20 16:04:29

Gullintanni
Member
From: New Zealand
Registered: 2016-06-15
Posts: 305
Trades :   

Re: Gold-to-Silver-Ratio and price prediction

Well leon1998 i have bagged you a couple of times for making a post and then nothing more said until your next prediction and i can not do that here as you have stuck around and entered into conversation.
I much prefer these posts of yours .
If this is the new norm expect NO MORE bagging from me.
Right or wrong predictions are fine in my book as long as they are not just predict and run.

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#10 2016-12-21 11:12:43

leon1998
Member
From: United States
Registered: 2014-11-26
Posts: 686
Trades :   

Re: Gold-to-Silver-Ratio and price prediction

GSR creeps up, at the cost of silver down.

Gold unable to advance, very dangerous prospect; previous low will be tested at US$1050, soon

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#11 2016-12-21 14:38:06

leon1998
Member
From: United States
Registered: 2014-11-26
Posts: 686
Trades :   

Re: Gold-to-Silver-Ratio and price prediction

Yes, for the next two weeks.

While I am not here, you better sell all your bullion and coins as soon as possible. Trust me, next year will be a massacre for goldbugs. tongue

Nugget_Hunter wrote:

Are you going on holidays Leon ??

Somewhere isolated, with no internet may be ??

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