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  • Index
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  • » U.S. Dollar Index is on the pad and final checks are being undertaken.

#76 2016-04-28 00:42:23

Skyrocket
Silver Stacker
From: Melbourne
Registered: 2014-07-20
Posts: 4,860
Trades :   36 

Re: U.S. Dollar Index is on the pad and final checks are being undertaken.

tolly_67 wrote:

No....not really.....but I like the death cult bit..
I don't agree with everything he writes.....
He reminds me of Skyrocket sometimes.....so no, I don't always agree.

I'm in no ones cult and I don't blindly follow anyone  wink

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#77 2016-04-28 03:11:22

whinfell
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From: Australia
Registered: 2012-03-22
Posts: 3,325
Trades :   44 

Re: U.S. Dollar Index is on the pad and final checks are being undertaken.

Except Billy wink

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#78 2016-04-29 17:38:37

tolly_67
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Registered: 2010-05-17
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Re: U.S. Dollar Index is on the pad and final checks are being undertaken.

Now we are really, really, really close.
This is a big fake out. Euro pushed to 115.
All systems ready. Prepare for re-ignition.

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#79 2016-04-29 19:30:15

Caput Lupinum
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From: Silver Stackers forum
Registered: 2012-06-17
Posts: 4,964
Trades :   11 

Re: U.S. Dollar Index is on the pad and final checks are being undertaken.

tolly_67 wrote:

Gravitational sling shot manoeuvre almost complete. This baby is about to head off into deep space.

tolly_67 wrote:

Ramp up, pause to build strength, ramp up, pause to build strength. This is a classic bull market. No parabolic move here. Just strength.
It will be nice when gold finally has this kind of pattern.

tolly_67 wrote:

The energy levels on the index which will propel it above the 100 mark are now extreme. It is like waiting for a tyre to explode as you keep pushing in the air. You can see it getting bigger, you know its going to blow......

tolly_67 wrote:

significant break through the 100 mark on its way, very, very soon.........followed by a retest of the 100......and then up and away she goes again....it will be a long time before the 100 is seen again.

tolly_67 wrote:

I see the opposite.
I would not be surprised if the u.s. dollar index breaks the 100 next week. Uncertainty in Europe and negative rates in Japan. The rush to safety is gathering steam. The Euro is showing very little strength and for good reason. It is a dead currency walking.

tolly_67 wrote:

No...still orbiting the earth....
It won't happen over night....but it will happen. This 100 on the index is the real test. It might take a bit more time to build the energy to blast through but when it does.....wheeeeeeeeeeee

tolly_67 wrote:

Why do I get this feeling that there will be a fake out break lower just to suck some more money in before the big push forward?

tolly_67 wrote:

Now we are really, really, really close.
This is a big fake out. Euro pushed to 115.
All systems ready. Prepare for re-ignition.


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#80 2016-04-29 19:40:33

tolly_67
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Re: U.S. Dollar Index is on the pad and final checks are being undertaken.

Damn....I've been caught and bowled.

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#81 2016-04-29 19:42:16

tolly_67
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Re: U.S. Dollar Index is on the pad and final checks are being undertaken.

It is the reverse " are we there yet?" syndrome........"nearly there, nearly there"

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#82 2016-04-29 19:44:58

tolly_67
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Re: U.S. Dollar Index is on the pad and final checks are being undertaken.

o.k.....I need help here aleks.....
back me on the euro 115...
aleks....hello?....alekkkkkks.
damn

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#83 2016-04-29 21:48:23

aleks
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From: Karl-Marx-Allee
Registered: 2010-10-14
Posts: 2,392
Trades :   27 

Re: U.S. Dollar Index is on the pad and final checks are being undertaken.

aleks wrote:

Borrowing rates in euro and jpy are lower than USD which means they become funding currencies for risk on trades and a big market sell off means an unwinding of carry trades = euro and jpy strength, us dollar weakness. If we  happen to make a significant bottom in US stock markets that  turns into real strength we could make a decent attempt at the old highs.


^^Pretty much this and US interest rate futures. Until everyone is convinced to jump on the S&P500 train because we are into all time high territory and interest rate futures will start moving towards another interest rate hike happening then dumb money will pile into the short jpy/euro, long stocks trade. Lets see what happens by mid year.

In the shorter term looks like euro wants to reach above some old highs at 1.15 and 1.17
mJpg4rs.png

Last edited by aleks (2016-04-29 22:20:04)


Only you have your best financial interest at heart, be your own guru

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#84 2016-05-03 03:38:59

aleks
Silver Stacker
From: Karl-Marx-Allee
Registered: 2010-10-14
Posts: 2,392
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Re: U.S. Dollar Index is on the pad and final checks are being undertaken.

RED ALERT WARNING: DOLLAR COLLAPSE

w7uYxNc.png

yikes


Only you have your best financial interest at heart, be your own guru

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#85 2016-05-03 03:56:47

Silverthorn
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Re: U.S. Dollar Index is on the pad and final checks are being undertaken.

aleks wrote:

RED ALERT WARNING: DOLLAR COLLAPSE

http://i.imgur.com/w7uYxNc.png

yikes


The worrying thing is, it was such a steep rise there is not much support on the way down if it breaks lower now.

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#86 2016-05-03 04:07:31

aleks
Silver Stacker
From: Karl-Marx-Allee
Registered: 2010-10-14
Posts: 2,392
Trades :   27 

Re: U.S. Dollar Index is on the pad and final checks are being undertaken.

Not trying to be funny, yes it looks thin on the way down on the weekly chart if this isn't a quick stop run, a level on the daily chart 89.50ish:

F5fesKS.png

Last edited by aleks (2016-05-03 04:08:28)


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#87 2016-05-03 12:08:47

tolly_67
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Re: U.S. Dollar Index is on the pad and final checks are being undertaken.

The time for the change is when it all looks lost. We are at that point right now. Make or break...........

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#88 2016-05-03 12:11:49

tolly_67
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Re: U.S. Dollar Index is on the pad and final checks are being undertaken.

Euro touched the 1.16 during the evening. Good enough for a top. Gold popped over the 1300 for a while, good enough for a top.
I am calling this one. After so many nearly there calls, I am going out on a limb and claim this to be the day the worm turned. U.S. dollar to move higher from here on.

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#89 2016-06-11 10:53:24

aleks
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From: Karl-Marx-Allee
Registered: 2010-10-14
Posts: 2,392
Trades :   27 

Re: U.S. Dollar Index is on the pad and final checks are being undertaken.

Tea leaves are telling me there is still some upside left in Euro and Chf,  what they haven't told me is how much upside to expect, waiting to see what they tell me on interest rate futures.  Dare I say we make another attempt at this 1.17 level.

Pending more voodoo, will be keeping an eye around 1.120 to 1.1180 to buy euro and  0.9750 to 0.9770 to sell usd/chf.

Last edited by aleks (2016-06-11 10:53:58)


Only you have your best financial interest at heart, be your own guru

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#90 2016-06-11 12:04:04

tolly_67
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Re: U.S. Dollar Index is on the pad and final checks are being undertaken.

We are being fed bullshit about the Brexit.....the visit from Obama stinks of desperation. All this talk of the 'stay' votes in front is codswallop.
I think this week will be the eye opener of how the Poms intend to vote. They beat back the Germans in June 1940 and this is the Battle of Britain all over again. The European Union is really Germany.
Just like Halleys Comet, it looks like it is coming around 76 years later. It will be the same result.

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#91 2016-06-11 12:05:42

tolly_67
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Re: U.S. Dollar Index is on the pad and final checks are being undertaken.

Oh sorry....after all that guff I meant to say the Euro is toast. You picked the peak at 1.16 ( Well done )......but I believe that an enormously fat lady is singing loud and strong on this one.

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#92 2016-06-13 23:02:05

tolly_67
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Re: U.S. Dollar Index is on the pad and final checks are being undertaken.

aleks wrote:

Tea leaves are telling me there is still some upside left in Euro and Chf,  what they haven't told me is how much upside to expect, waiting to see what they tell me on interest rate futures.  Dare I say we make another attempt at this 1.17 level.

Pending more voodoo, will be keeping an eye around 1.120 to 1.1180 to buy euro and  0.9750 to 0.9770 to sell usd/chf.

You are probably going to be right. I didn't think about it long enough.
The Euro buyers are going to get caught in a massive bull trap.
The big rush to the Euro but once the long term weakness becomes apparent.....down she goes.

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#93 2016-07-01 23:20:27

aleks
Silver Stacker
From: Karl-Marx-Allee
Registered: 2010-10-14
Posts: 2,392
Trades :   27 

Re: U.S. Dollar Index is on the pad and final checks are being undertaken.

I had a strong level of conviction on higher euro, technically as well as expecting a big move in the fed funds rate. The fed funds rate has been moving in the right direction but hasn't been a catalyst/driver of dollar weakness like I was expecting. The technicals on euro has deteriorated to the point where its best to be neutral at the moment.


Only you have your best financial interest at heart, be your own guru

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#94 2016-07-03 00:34:00

aleks
Silver Stacker
From: Karl-Marx-Allee
Registered: 2010-10-14
Posts: 2,392
Trades :   27 

Re: U.S. Dollar Index is on the pad and final checks are being undertaken.

10a60df0de5e4f769d2a018e75d8ad5c.png

Looking at the daily chart if anything it looks like this is early signs of bullish price action, also US long term bond yields are at record lows and could drag the dollar higher


Only you have your best financial interest at heart, be your own guru

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#95 2016-11-15 19:37:24

tolly_67
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Re: U.S. Dollar Index is on the pad and final checks are being undertaken.

Just broken the 100 mark......about 7 months later than I expected.
All upwards now.....especially once the talk of U.S. interest rate rises becomes common place.

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#96 2016-11-15 19:48:44

JulieW
Silver Stacker
From: Australia
Registered: 2010-10-14
Posts: 11,099

Re: U.S. Dollar Index is on the pad and final checks are being undertaken.

Vix 13.37

Everyone seems happy.

Buy, buy, buy.!

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