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#1 2016-03-07 06:21:24

mouthoff1time
Member
From: Illawarra
Registered: 2015-11-24
Posts: 145
Trades :   37 

AFL punting thread

Saw the NRL one and thought I would share my thoughts on the upcoming season. Will post opinion of round 1 closer to date.

So far the following futures bets look appealing:

Fremantle to finish higher than Hawthorn at end of home & away season @ $3 [TAB] - looks massive overs especially with Roughhead ruled out for the 1st half of the season. Freo had the best defence in the competition last year, expecting them to continue to strangle teams 5th or below.

Sydney to finish top 8 @ $1.45 (with a cheeky smaller bet on them to make top 4 @ $3) [TAB] - finals campaign last year was excusable given missing personnel in Franklin, Parker & Jack. Will benefit enormously from the end of year cleanout and injection of young blood (Talia, Mills, Sinclair). Will also benefit from the reduced interchange, given they still have one of the best (if not the best) midfield groups in the competition.

Collingwood to miss the 8 @ $2.15 - can't believe they are so short to make the 8; considering they will be involved in a 7-way battle for the final 3 spots in the 8 [Richmond, Western Bulldogs, GWS, Adelaide, North Melbourne & Port being the other contenders]. Have brought in talent but are still rebuilding in my opinion.

Feel free to post opinions, counter-arguments & other bet suggestions!

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#2 2016-03-07 07:12:46

scrooged
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From: Melbs
Registered: 2014-05-06
Posts: 1,227
Trades :   54 

Re: AFL punting thread

Good work, agree with most of that.

Regarding Pies in an 7 way battle for last 3 spots of 8 and assuming (in no particular order) you have Freo, Hawks, WC and Syd your top 5,  who do you have as the 5th team? not the Cats?

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#3 2016-03-07 08:10:58

mouthoff1time
Member
From: Illawarra
Registered: 2015-11-24
Posts: 145
Trades :   37 

Re: AFL punting thread

I probably should have the cats in with the other 7 jockeying it out for 5th-8th.
I just think Dangerfield will make a huge difference - especially in reducing the burden on Joel Selwood.

Gonna be an interesting year...

Last edited by mouthoff1time (2016-03-07 08:11:37)

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#4 2016-03-18 04:15:00

TeaPot&ChopSticks
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Registered: 2012-04-16
Posts: 288
Trades :   

Re: AFL punting thread

AFL Starts Next Week. Whoo-hoo !


"If speaking is silver, then listening is gold." — Turkish Proverb

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#5 2016-03-18 05:28:16

Naphthalene Man
Silver Stacker
From: Hunter Valley, NSW
Registered: 2010-02-25
Posts: 5,370
Trades :   101 

Re: AFL punting thread

+1


''Up ahead they's a thousand' lives we might live, but when it comes, it'll only be one''
- Ma in John Steinbeck's The Grapes of Wrath.

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#6 2016-03-18 05:33:06

bloomst
Silver Stacker
From: Melbourne, Australia.
Registered: 2012-07-16
Posts: 4,872
Trades :   421 

Re: AFL punting thread

I have paid my $10 on my work footy tip....hopefully can rank up there...have a few things to settle with my supervisor/office people. Hahahaha


I am the Petal who like metals smile

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#7 2016-03-21 02:46:17

precious roar
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Registered: 2012-09-18
Posts: 111
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Re: AFL punting thread

$3 for Freo to finish above Hawthorn is great odds.

Conversely, $1.45 for the Swans to make the 8 isn't great, at all, IMO.

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#8 2016-03-21 06:20:06

mouthoff1time
Member
From: Illawarra
Registered: 2015-11-24
Posts: 145
Trades :   37 

Re: AFL punting thread

precious roar wrote:

$3 for Freo to finish above Hawthorn is great odds.

Conversely, $1.45 for the Swans to make the 8 isn't great, at all, IMO.

It's out to $1.55 now.

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#9 2016-03-28 05:12:43

mouthoff1time
Member
From: Illawarra
Registered: 2015-11-24
Posts: 145
Trades :   37 

Re: AFL punting thread

mouthoff1time wrote:
precious roar wrote:

$3 for Freo to finish above Hawthorn is great odds.

Conversely, $1.45 for the Swans to make the 8 isn't great, at all, IMO.

It's out to $1.55 now.

And now into $1.25 on the back of their demolition of Collingwood.

Shame I only got $600 on before round 1 sad

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#10 2016-03-30 01:41:53

precious roar
Member
Registered: 2012-09-18
Posts: 111
Trades :   

Re: AFL punting thread

They did look good on Saturday but I'm still not convinced they are a cert.

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#11 2016-03-30 23:18:33

FullMetalFever
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From: Melbourne
Registered: 2012-08-06
Posts: 337
Trades :   16 

Re: AFL punting thread

Picked 9 this week. Pity I didn't put on a multi ...

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#12 2016-03-30 23:22:25

mouthoff1time
Member
From: Illawarra
Registered: 2015-11-24
Posts: 145
Trades :   37 

Re: AFL punting thread

FullMetalFever wrote:

Picked 9 this week. Pity I didn't put on a multi ...

Boss! I went 8/9 (picked Adelaide)

No multi either...

Only really like West Coast h2h and minus line this week.

Not much value in the other games. Will be backing a few of them with SportsBet money back special:
Richmond
Geelong
Sydney
Western Bulldogs

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#13 2016-04-02 02:17:12

TeaPot&ChopSticks
Member
Registered: 2012-04-16
Posts: 288
Trades :   

Re: AFL punting thread

No one has placed any suggested bets here?

Hi mouthoff1time I am thinking too Sydney in Round 2.

The NRL Thread has gone gangbusters but no one talking AFL. This Forum must be heavy NSW, QLD, WA and TAS - not many Victorians here.

So what are people thinking this ROUND 2 AFL 2016? What are the Silver Stackers Tips?


"If speaking is silver, then listening is gold." — Turkish Proverb

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#14 2016-04-02 02:19:46

mouthoff1time
Member
From: Illawarra
Registered: 2015-11-24
Posts: 145
Trades :   37 

Re: AFL punting thread

As I said, really keen on West Coast h2h and line.

Swans and Geelong h2h other bets

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#15 2016-04-04 04:17:57

scrooged
Member
From: Melbs
Registered: 2014-05-06
Posts: 1,227
Trades :   54 

Re: AFL punting thread

mouthoff1time wrote:

As I said, really keen on West Coast h2h and line.

Swans and Geelong h2h other bets

Ouch.

Two games I'll be watching this week is Freo/WC and North/Melb. Hoping WC can do a number on Freo and North can win a game in Tassie. North will be 3-0 and Freo 0-3. They meet following round at Etihad.

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#16 2016-04-04 04:41:37

mouthoff1time
Member
From: Illawarra
Registered: 2015-11-24
Posts: 145
Trades :   37 

Re: AFL punting thread

scrooged wrote:
mouthoff1time wrote:

As I said, really keen on West Coast h2h and line.

Swans and Geelong h2h other bets

Ouch.

Two games I'll be watching this week is Freo/WC and North/Melb. Hoping WC can do a number on Freo and North can win a game in Tassie. North will be 3-0 and Freo 0-3. They meet following round at Etihad.

Yeah I did terrible! Oh well, next week

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#17 2016-04-04 04:54:36

scrooged
Member
From: Melbs
Registered: 2014-05-06
Posts: 1,227
Trades :   54 

Re: AFL punting thread

FullMetalFever wrote:

Picked 9 this week. Pity I didn't put on a multi ...

You didn't pick dick.

Scrolled thread three times, I'm convinced you picked sweet F.A.

Zero picks
1 x boast

Legend.

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#18 2016-04-08 00:20:30

mouthoff1time
Member
From: Illawarra
Registered: 2015-11-24
Posts: 145
Trades :   37 

Re: AFL punting thread

Adelaide h2h and line
Saints +24.5
Swans h2h

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#19 2016-04-10 18:19:18

mouthoff1time
Member
From: Illawarra
Registered: 2015-11-24
Posts: 145
Trades :   37 

Re: AFL punting thread

mouthoff1time wrote:

Adelaide h2h and line
Saints +24.5
Swans h2h

Tick, tick, tick and tick

We're back

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#20 2016-04-15 02:48:42

mouthoff1time
Member
From: Illawarra
Registered: 2015-11-24
Posts: 145
Trades :   37 

Re: AFL punting thread

Round 4:
Gold Coast -15.5 @ $2 on palmerbet (**BET OF THE ROUND**)
Melbourne +17.5
Swans h2h
GWS h2h

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#21 2016-04-15 04:38:16

bloomst
Silver Stacker
From: Melbourne, Australia.
Registered: 2012-07-16
Posts: 4,872
Trades :   421 

Re: AFL punting thread

Just picked up a bet special from Ladbrokes, West Coast -15 at $1.80 i

Maximum $25 bet.


I am the Petal who like metals smile

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#22 2016-04-15 07:04:54

Junk Silver
Silver Stacker
From: Victoria
Registered: 2014-09-28
Posts: 104
Trades :   23 

Re: AFL punting thread

Tigers have kicked the first goal in all their matches this season with Kane Lambert doing it three out of the four.


Court Jester 12-07-2013 "It will be sideways trading for 10-15 years at least"
Court Jester 01-07-2016 "like I said I will concede this sideways movement is over once we are @ >$27 aud sustained for at least 2 weeks."
Court Jester 01-07-2016 "it is still for all practical purposes <-------sideways ------> in AUD terms over the last 3 years."
Silver @ $27.48 @ 27-08-2013----------Down to-----------$17.96 @ 06-11-2014-------------Up to--------------$28.07 @ 04-07-16

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#23 2016-04-16 18:55:10

ashleyd123
Member
From: Perth
Registered: 2012-06-26
Posts: 241
Trades :   30 

Re: AFL punting thread

mouthoff1time wrote:

Round 4:
Gold Coast -15.5 @ $2 on palmerbet (**BET OF THE ROUND**)
Melbourne +17.5
Swans h2h
GWS h2h


Oh dear, bet of the round ... Bahahaha  lol


Monkey see, monkey do.

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#24 2016-05-14 22:48:00

TeaPot&ChopSticks
Member
Registered: 2012-04-16
Posts: 288
Trades :   

Re: AFL punting thread

Had not the opportunity to make AFL bets this calander year.
My first bet was North Melbourne at $1.05.
AFL does have lower odds than NRL and my returns are less but it is far easier to pick the winner at a greater extent.
This is the first year of serious gambling for me.
One thing is for sure in AFL, I never ever, bet on Richmond Games. Last night Richmond 101 to Sydney 100. I just had to laugh so much ! Sydney thought they had that in the bag.
Here is to next week. Just got to pick one winner and go big. Yummy !

Last edited by TeaPot&ChopSticks (2016-05-14 22:48:51)


"If speaking is silver, then listening is gold." — Turkish Proverb

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